Polymarket Trader

Movadla

0x2f554525a1d96037a09d6cb6650f4c3f4207676e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $172.34
Realized PnL: $952.58
Win rate: 70.8%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $57.76
Potential payout: $2.36K
Potential profit: $2.3K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$3.23

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $80.21
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: $55.21

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $945.45
Potential profit: $945.45
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Trump visit Gaza by Oct 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $747.24
Potential profit: $747.24
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $3.93
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $710.36
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$1.07

Yes position

Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $2.33
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $664.33
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$17.67

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $10.28
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $545.28
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.25
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $2.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $497.25
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$2.25

No position

Will Iran Play in the World Cup?

Ends Aug 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $436.11
Potential profit: $436.11
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $375
Potential profit: $375
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $363.64
Potential profit: $363.64
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $357.14
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $3.91
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $308.59
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$1.09

Yes position

Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $283.33
Potential profit: $283.33
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $219.99
Potential profit: $219.99
User PnL: -$19.8

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $8.92
Potential payout: $215.05
Potential profit: $206.13
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$11.08

Yes position

Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $214.37
Potential profit: $214.37
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Russia announces air truce by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $214.29
Potential profit: $214.29
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.33
Potential profit: $208.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.33
Potential profit: $208.33
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $505.56

No position

Will the Patient Focus (PF) win a seat in Norwegian Election?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.26

Yes position

Will Trump say "Palestine" during September?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.49

Yes position

Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Yes position

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.92

Yes position

Biden drops out of presidential race?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.27

Yes position

Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.38

No position

Will Taylor Swift perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.89

Yes position

Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.88

Yes position

The Masters 2026: Hole in One?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.83

Yes position

Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.15

Yes position

Will the Progress Party (FrP) win 22% or more of vote in Norwegian election?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.67

Under position

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

No position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.89

Boy position

Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Under position

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

No position

Donald & Melania Trump divorce before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Kamala say "Unburdened" in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Ethereum all time high in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Taylor Swift pregnant in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 22?

Ends Jul 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 500 shares
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.6% 166.67 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.7% 714.29 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.6% 312.5 shares
Will the Democratic Republic of Congo win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.5% 18.18 shares
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?

No 1.3% 77.54 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.6% 384.62 shares
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?

No 1.4% 358.57 shares
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.2% 416.67 shares