Polymarket Trader

Trains

0x2f5c2262082a4cdcc1fe3573fa6812aebca27a2d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $124.03
Realized PnL: $1.34K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $58
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $342
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $16

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $6.9
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $193.09
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $0.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5.9

Yes position

Will Ludvig Åberg win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $11.7
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $48.3
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $34.79
Potential payout: $59.98
Potential profit: $25.19
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $5.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $44.75
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $7.4
Potential payout: $39.99
Potential profit: $32.59
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$0.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $18.52
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $16.13
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $15.15
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $15.15
User PnL: -$4.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.82
Potential profit: $12.82
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.41
Potential profit: $10.41
User PnL: -$5.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.2
Potential profit: $10.2
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.79
Potential profit: $9.79
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $9.43
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.93
Potential profit: $8.93
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $934.48

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.01

No position

Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.7

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

No position

Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.32

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 850-874 times Feb 7-14?

Ends Feb 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.8

Yes position

Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?

Ends Jan 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.1

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.89

No position

Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.5

Yes position

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-10-29?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.63

Under position

Elche CF vs. Real Sociedad: O/U 2.5

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.6

Yes position

Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-05?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Under position

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.9

No position

Will FC Lausanne-Sport win on 2025-11-06?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2025-11-18?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.89

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Down 66% 4.44 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Down 45% 2.22 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Down 45% 2.22 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Down 21% 4.76 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Down 88% 1.14 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Down 86% 1.16 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Down 87% 1.15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Down 87% 1.15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Down 88% 1.14 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Down 75% 1.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Down 76% 1.32 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Down 90% 1.11 shares