No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.5K
- Potential profit
- $19.5K
- User PnL
- -$30.99
Polymarket Trader
0x2F5eC283291d0AF6d39241B6aE30B1FBA573e184-1771236801042
0x2f5ec283291d0af6d39241b6ae30b1fba573e184
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $277.28
- Realized PnL
- $2.15K
- Win rate
- 86.4%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19K
- Potential profit
- $19K
- User PnL
- -$29.98
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.87K
- Potential profit
- $7.87K
- User PnL
- -$23.62
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.36K
- Potential profit
- $7.36K
- User PnL
- -$133.17
Yes position
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $61.56
- Potential payout
- $4.56K
- Potential profit
- $4.5K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$6.84
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Current value
- $116.39
- Potential payout
- $4.48K
- Potential profit
- $4.36K
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- -$433.6
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.94
- Potential payout
- $3.88K
- Potential profit
- $3.88K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$262.87
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.85K
- Potential profit
- $3.85K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $72.39
- Potential payout
- $1.83K
- Potential profit
- $1.76K
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$17.61
Yes position
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $1.55K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- User PnL
- -$4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$83.85
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $998.5
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $998.5
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $19
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $981
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- -$41
Yes position
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.23
$80k position
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.9
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.22
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$71.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 3 Germany?Yes 9.1% 87.91 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 4.9% 1,832.62 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 4% 2,791.38 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 0.1% 8,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.1% 8,000 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 3.6% 440 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 0.2% 11,500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 11,000 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 2.9% 1,666.66 shares
- Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
- Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.4% 250 shares
- Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.2% 500 shares