Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $6.82
- Potential payout
- $303.03
- Potential profit
- $296.21
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$3.18
Polymarket Trader
monkeyballs1337
0x2f736901da77bfc32e637e87d47ba8eb294396f9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $161.67
- Realized PnL
- $647.23
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $11.53
- Potential payout
- $121.32
- Potential profit
- $109.8
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$8.47
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $9.33
- Potential payout
- $89.29
- Potential profit
- $79.96
- Multiplier
- 9.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $55.7
- Potential payout
- $87.72
- Potential profit
- $32.02
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $5.7
Yes position
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.08
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$9.75
Yes position
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $5.42
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $77.92
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$4.58
Yes position
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.32
- Potential payout
- $70.86
- Potential profit
- $70.54
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$9.68
Yes position
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $6.33
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $60.33
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$3.67
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $10.05
- Potential payout
- $60.9
- Potential profit
- $50.85
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$4.95
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.6%
- Current value
- $6.39
- Potential payout
- $60.61
- Potential profit
- $54.21
- Multiplier
- 9.48x
- User PnL
- -$3.61
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.8%
- Current value
- $13.89
- Potential payout
- $58.48
- Potential profit
- $44.59
- Multiplier
- 4.21x
- User PnL
- $3.89
Yes position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $3.59
- Potential payout
- $47.91
- Potential profit
- $44.31
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$6.41
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $47.62
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $6.9
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $40.71
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$3.1
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.34
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.89
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 TOUR Championship?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $5.22
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $38.26
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$4.78
Yes position
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 TOUR Championship?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $6.35
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $32.12
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$3.65
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $36.98
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $6.47
- Potential payout
- $24.88
- Potential profit
- $18.41
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$3.53
Yes position
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $2.56
- Potential payout
- $24.39
- Potential profit
- $21.83
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$7.44
No position
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $0.49
- Potential payout
- $18.18
- Potential profit
- $17.69
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- -$3.51
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $3.36
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $13.88
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$1.64
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $0.53
- Potential payout
- $10.31
- Potential profit
- $9.78
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.11
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.26
Yes position
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.19
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $26.79
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.84
Yes position
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.48
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.57
Yes position
Will Pam Bondi be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.23
No position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.17
Yes position
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.71
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $16.21
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.71
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.09
Yes position
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-03-15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.98
Yes position
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-12?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.26
Yes position
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.23
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.31
Yes position
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.85
Yes position
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-03-22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.23
Yes position
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No 76% 34.48 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Yes 65% 23.08 shares
- RFK Jr. Out by December 31?Yes 57.1% 27.02 shares
- Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?No 22% 18.18 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?Yes 21% 47.62 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETUp 14% 35.71 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETUp 49% 10.2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETDown 88% 5.68 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETUp 5% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 57% 87.72 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETUp 54% 46.3 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETUp 55% 9.09 shares