0x2F76DB0C28fD5885F75919fFf8Bcdb90f5607888-1724702296020

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $285.71
User PnL: -$20

Switzerland position

UEFA Women’s Euro: Spain vs. Switzerland (To Advance)

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $285.71
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $235.97
Potential payout: $277.61
Potential profit: $41.64
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $27.32

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the UEFA Women's Euro?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $193.15
Potential profit: $193.15
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.71
Potential profit: $185.71
User PnL: -$105

Yes position

Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $173.91
Potential profit: $173.91
User PnL: -$80

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.04
Potential profit: $169.04
User PnL: -$34

Yes position

Modi out in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $160
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.33
Potential profit: $137.33
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $133.33
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $131.58
Potential profit: $131.51
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$49.93

No position

Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$64.45

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.24
Potential profit: $115.24
User PnL: -$5.8

No position

Will anyone say "Squid Game" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?

Ends Jul 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

China x India military clash by December 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110.71
Potential profit: $110.71
User PnL: -$60

No position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $76.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $23.5
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.15
Potential profit: $96.15
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?

Ends Aug 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.24
Potential profit: $95.24
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $7.83
Potential payout: $86.96
Potential profit: $79.13
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$12.17

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $230

Yes position

Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.01

Yes position

Will Donald Trump issue fewer than 15 executive orders in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.3

Yes position

Will George Russell win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.33

Yes position

Will England win the UEFA Women's Euro?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.78

England position

UEFA Women's Euro: England vs. Italy (To Advance)

Ends Jul 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.11

Yes position

Will Nico Hulkenberg finish in 3rd place at the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.27

No position

Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.85

Yes position

Israel military action against Iran before July?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.29

Yes position

Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.75

Yes position

Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.73

No position

Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.42

PSG position

Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milan

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.22

No position

Will Spain win the UEFA Women's Euro?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.73

No position

North Korea missile test by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.58

Yes position

Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?

Ends Jul 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.62

Yes position

Iran strike on Qatar today?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.53

No position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.42

No position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.45

No position

Iran Nuke in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.81

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.8

No position

50% tariff goes into effect on EU by June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.44

Yes position

Fact check: Was Tyler Robinson a lone actor?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.53

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?