No position
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $1.02K
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $27.13
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $16.39
Polymarket Trader
qwerziop
0x2f7bf5ea20e21c5578adc8d3372dccde1b2aaf32
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.06K
- Realized PnL
- $367.22
- Win rate
- 93.8%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $999.99
- User PnL
- -$165
Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $5.94
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $619.06
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $106.38
- Potential profit
- $106.38
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.2%
- Current value
- $4.08
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $45.93
- Multiplier
- 12.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.92
No position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.27
- Potential profit
- $27.27
- User PnL
- -$9
No position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $15.63
- Potential profit
- $15.35
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$9.73
No position
Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $10.52
- Potential payout
- $10.57
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $9.95
- Potential payout
- $10.13
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $10.1
- Potential payout
- $10.12
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.61
- Potential profit
- $7.61
- User PnL
- -$4.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.02
No position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36
Yes position
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.14
No position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.28
Yes position
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.04
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.37
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
No position
5kt meteor strike in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.52
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
No position
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Obama divorce in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will Bella Ramsey (The Last of Us) win Best Actress – Television Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Solana reach $400 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes 33% 27.27 shares
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?Yes 65% 7.61 shares
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?Yes 53% 9.3 shares
- 5kt meteor strike in 2025?No 96.6% 103.52 shares
- Will Solana reach $400 before 2026?No 99.8% 10.02 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10% 50 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98.7% 10.13 shares
- Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98.8% 10.12 shares
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.8% 625 shares
- Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31?No 94.6% 10.57 shares
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No 95.8% 1,043.52 shares
- No one announced as next James Bond?No 64% 15.63 shares