N
No position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $49.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $19.5
Polymarket Trader
JesseLivermore99
0x2f802e08003a8b84b1cabeb9a0bc96b295b37be8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $91.89
- Realized PnL
- $4.8K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $42.39
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $1.09
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $12.39
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $695.38
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $619.06
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $508.43
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 4, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $309.99
Yes position
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 23, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280.24
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 18?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232.96
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.78
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 1?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $223
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 22?
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.72
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 7, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.35
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 19, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.61
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 27?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.37
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 2?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.26
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.73
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 3, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.48
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.65
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 17, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.96
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 25?
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.92
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.16
Yes position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.84
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 28?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.04
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 15, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.94
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 12, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.67
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?No 60% 50 shares
- Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?No 69% 43.48 shares
- Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?No 89% 33.71 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 20.2% 0.99 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 20.1% 20 shares
- Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?No 99.1% 31.91 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 44% 8 shares
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 62.1% 9 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No 40% 15 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?No 27% 5 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?No 42% 5 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 34.8% 11 shares