Polymarket Trader

LazyJohnX

@Doraemon1233210

0x2f858fe02044777e8dfe72e4524ef0eec7cf05ff

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $241.78
Realized PnL: $131.66
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.35
Potential profit: $54.35
User PnL: -$50

$60k position

Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.35
Potential profit: $52.35
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $47.86
Potential payout: $50.4
Potential profit: $2.55
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$2.14

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $39.98
Potential payout: $40.2
Potential profit: $0.22
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $31.45
Potential payout: $36.14
Potential profit: $4.7
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $1.45

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $31.77
Potential payout: $31.91
Potential profit: $0.14
User PnL: $1.77

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $30.16
Potential payout: $30.17
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.27
Potential profit: $27.27
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 8?

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $25.64
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.41
Potential profit: $25.41
User PnL: -$18.8

Yes position

Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.08
Potential profit: $23.08
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $20.32
Potential payout: $21.28
Potential profit: $0.96
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $20.26
Potential payout: $21.12
Potential profit: $0.86
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.61
Potential profit: $20.61
User PnL: -$19.97

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.57
Potential profit: $20.57
User PnL: -$19.96

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 13.6%
Current value: $2.76
Potential payout: $20.28
Potential profit: $17.53
Multiplier: 7.35x
User PnL: -$17.24

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $2.48
Potential payout: $18.07
Potential profit: $15.59
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$0.52

No position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $14.74
Potential payout: $15.64
Potential profit: $0.9
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $15.38
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 24?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $14.71
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.22
Potential profit: $13.22
User PnL: -$11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.26

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.39

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.92

No position

Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.73

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.47

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 15?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.32

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 7?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.85

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 17?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.15

Yes position

US x China tariff agreement by November 10?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.33

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 1?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.93

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.83

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7

Yes position

Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 22?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 4?

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.11

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 23% 21.74 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 53% 9.43 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 63.4% 7.89 shares
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?

No 91% 5.49 shares
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?

No 89% 5.62 shares
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?

Yes 32% 6.25 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 24?

No 99.5% 30.15 shares
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 99.4% 30.17 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 97.8% 10.22 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 86% 5.81 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 83% 6.02 shares
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Yes 24% 8.33 shares