Yes position
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $833.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
mpartialbedrock
0x2f8a5981614ae809ff2a75832fc10a72793ef086
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $498.53
- Realized PnL
- $732.66
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $701.36
- Potential profit
- $701.36
- User PnL
- -$191.71
No position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $363.49
- Potential profit
- $363.49
- User PnL
- -$48
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 7.7%
- Current value
- $20.91
- Potential payout
- $271.59
- Potential profit
- $250.68
- Multiplier
- 12.99x
- User PnL
- $5.91
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $28.12
- Potential payout
- $208.33
- Potential profit
- $180.21
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$46.87
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.3%
- Current value
- $35.13
- Potential payout
- $182.48
- Potential profit
- $147.35
- Multiplier
- 5.19x
- User PnL
- -$14.87
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.6%
- Current value
- $20.23
- Potential payout
- $175.16
- Potential profit
- $154.93
- Multiplier
- 8.66x
- User PnL
- -$9.77
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $143.75
- Potential profit
- $143.75
- User PnL
- -$36
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $112.79
- Potential payout
- $119.35
- Potential profit
- $6.56
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.79
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $3.55
- Potential payout
- $116.28
- Potential profit
- $112.73
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$1.45
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $103.06
- Potential payout
- $107.53
- Potential profit
- $4.46
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.06
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.7%
- Current value
- $17.29
- Potential payout
- $76.34
- Potential profit
- $59.05
- Multiplier
- 4.42x
- User PnL
- -$2.71
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.78
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $61.72
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 86.3%
- Current value
- $49.01
- Potential payout
- $56.79
- Potential profit
- $7.78
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$1.99
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $44.3
- Potential payout
- $50.63
- Potential profit
- $6.33
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $4.3
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.58
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.43
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $18.98
- Potential payout
- $40.82
- Potential profit
- $21.84
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$1.02
No position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $30.41
- Potential payout
- $39.49
- Potential profit
- $9.08
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $15.41
Yes position
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.84
- Potential profit
- $36.84
- User PnL
- -$14
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.06
- Potential profit
- $35.06
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $13.38
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $16.03
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$1.62
No position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $27.78
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $239.03
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.34
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.41
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.41
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.41
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.89
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.6
Yes position
Will The Singers win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23
No position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.43
Yes position
Will Kanye tweet again by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.41
Yes position
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.41
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $7.45
Yes position
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.4
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $7.12
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.12
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.52
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $4.81
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
No position
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Multiplier
- 28.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
No position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?Yes 38% 36.84 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No 43% 34.48 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No 93% 119.35 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?Yes 4.5% 22.22 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?Yes 7% 71.43 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No 89.1% 56.12 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 45% 34.48 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 26.2% 76.34 shares
- Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 98% 30.61 shares
- Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?No 28.5% 35.06 shares
- Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 2% 50 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 93% 107.53 shares