Yes position
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$179.8
Polymarket Trader
fgfkjytyjt
0x2f9b8638f03af7d6053c512cc054ac733489a68c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $57.28
- Realized PnL
- $6.47K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $716.95
- Potential profit
- $716.95
- User PnL
- -$136.88
No position
Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $582
- Potential profit
- $582
- User PnL
- -$59.78
N
No position
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $304
- Potential profit
- $304
- User PnL
- -$33.41
Y
Yes position
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $255.71
- Potential profit
- $255.71
- User PnL
- -$102.23
Yes position
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $221.65
- Potential profit
- $221.65
- User PnL
- -$6.65
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $208
- Potential profit
- $208
- User PnL
- -$43.68
No position
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $198.21
- Potential profit
- $198.21
- User PnL
- -$55.5
No position
Will Israel come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $177
- Potential profit
- $177
- User PnL
- -$15.93
Yes position
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $160
- User PnL
- -$16
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $153
- Potential profit
- $153
- User PnL
- -$22.95
Yes position
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $149
- Potential profit
- $149
- User PnL
- -$40.63
No position
Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $148
- Potential profit
- $148
- User PnL
- -$35.88
No position
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $143.97
- Potential profit
- $143.97
- User PnL
- -$15.72
No position
Will "Nemesis" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $126
- Potential profit
- $126
- User PnL
- -$25.81
Yes position
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 33.2%
- Current value
- $25.82
- Potential payout
- $77.78
- Potential profit
- $51.96
- Multiplier
- 3.01x
- User PnL
- $18.82
Yes position
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$19.6
Yes position
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $29B?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $23.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $26.5
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will "Iceman" - Drake 2nd week album sales be between 200k and 225k?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$21.5
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42
- Potential profit
- $42
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Will Mobia Medical's market cap be between $500M and $700M at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$9.75
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $7.95
- Potential payout
- $13.48
- Potential profit
- $5.53
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $4.45
No position
Will "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $13
- User PnL
- -$9.36
No position
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.46
- Potential profit
- $2.46
- User PnL
- -$0.79
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73K
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $1.37K
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $432.26
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $379.83
Yes position
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $312.14
Yes position
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $293.83
N
No position
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255.32
No position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.65
No position
Will "GOAT" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.1
No position
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.36
Yes position
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.84
Yes position
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.68
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.1
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.92
Yes position
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.13
No position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.87
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.44
No position
Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 21m?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.38
N
No position
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.42
No position
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $71.92
No position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $71.5
No position
Will Fervo Energy's market cap be between $7.0B and $8.5B at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.81
No position
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.82
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $49.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?Yes 99.1% 221.08 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No 41.6% 77.38 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No 42.5% 447.55 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No 44% 441.56 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No 45% 358.74 shares
- Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?No 99.9% 117 shares
- Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?No 95% 521 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?Yes 53% 44 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No 75% 76 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Yes 42.8% 59.53 shares
- Will Concrete launch a token by June 30, 2026?No 94% 65 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes 71% 117 shares