Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $283.4
- Potential payout
- $520
- Potential profit
- $236.6
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $179.4
Polymarket Trader
sadjeayes
0x2fa2849ab9457a3ffba09ec6459a20146e0bd5ed
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $535.04
- Realized PnL
- $168.75
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $37.72
- Potential payout
- $40.78
- Potential profit
- $3.06
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.43
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $24.86
- Potential payout
- $28.74
- Potential profit
- $3.88
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $26.89
- Potential payout
- $28
- Potential profit
- $1.11
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $27.66
- Potential payout
- $27.67
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $23.99
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $17.39
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $1.61
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $17.25
- Potential payout
- $18.65
- Potential profit
- $1.4
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.03
Yes position
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $18.3
- Potential profit
- $18.28
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.75
No position
Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $18.03
- Potential payout
- $18.04
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $17.36
- Potential payout
- $17.72
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $15.02
- Potential payout
- $15.02
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $12.98
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $12.48
- Potential payout
- $12.48
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.62
Yes position
Will Rodri win the Ballon d’Or?
Ends Oct 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.86
Yes position
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.56
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $4.61
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.35
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
No position
Will Solana dip to $90 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
Yes position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
No position
Will Lee Jun-seok win more than 14% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Ends Jun 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98
Yes position
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82
Yes position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79
No position
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
Will MicroStrategy be forced to liquidate Bitcoin holdings in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
Yes position
Will Lee Jun-seok win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
No position
Will Trump x Rogan interview be under 1 hour?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26
No position
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?No 99.7% 27.67 shares
- Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?No 96.7% 17.72 shares
- Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026?No 99.4% 18.04 shares
- Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?No 98.7% 13 shares
- Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?No 93.6% 28 shares
- Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?Yes 95% 15.02 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?No 98.5% 24 shares
- Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?Yes 20.6% 18.3 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.2% 26.05 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 98.1% 12.48 shares
- Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?No 88% 25 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes 99.6% 27 shares