Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $177.63
- Potential payout
- $2.73K
- Potential profit
- $2.56K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$187.68
Polymarket Trader
0x2Fa478281eD97376CE01052BEEBC4bf079c9f321-1721993498612
0x2fa478281ed97376ce01052beebc4bf079c9f321
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $177.63
- Realized PnL
- $41.33
- Win rate
- 55.6%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $1.34K
- User PnL
- -$75.32
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $547.4
- Potential profit
- $547.4
- User PnL
- -$198.16
Yes position
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $244.08
- Potential profit
- $244.08
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $185.33
- Potential profit
- $185.33
- User PnL
- -$120.38
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $31.25
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $17.24
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $4.17
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.69
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.13
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.47
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
Yes position
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $2.14
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.97
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$8.71
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$10.87
Yes position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 13% 540.92 shares
- Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes 42% 178.04 shares
- Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes 65% 209.28 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 15% 666.67 shares
- Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes 64.9% 154.09 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes 4% 490.46 shares
- Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 66% 60.61 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes 12% 166.67 shares
- Netanyahu out by April 30?Yes 4.1% 244.08 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 76% 39.47 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes 16.7% 63.38 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes 16% 93.75 shares