Yes position
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.2
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $798.8
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Polymarket Trader
Leonslv
0x2fa52606ee148c7a1776f9330c53785fc178fdcb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $54.61
- Realized PnL
- $2.03K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $2.57
- Potential payout
- $571.43
- Potential profit
- $568.86
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.56
- Potential payout
- $278.47
- Potential profit
- $277.92
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.44
Yes position
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $7.02
- Potential payout
- $175.62
- Potential profit
- $168.6
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.98
Yes position
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $10.83
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $155.83
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$9.17
Yes position
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $3.24
- Potential payout
- $117.65
- Potential profit
- $114.41
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- $1.24
Yes position
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $101.5
- Potential profit
- $101.5
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $5.34
- Potential payout
- $97.92
- Potential profit
- $92.58
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$9.66
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.64
- Potential profit
- $86.64
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.6%
- Current value
- $5.7
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $69.3
- Multiplier
- 13.16x
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Yes position
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $4.64
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $66.79
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $2.61
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $68.82
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$7.39
Yes position
Will the Democratic Republic of Congo win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.13
- Potential profit
- $63.13
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $2.11
- Potential payout
- $56.18
- Potential profit
- $54.07
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.89
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $3.4
- Potential payout
- $52.3
- Potential profit
- $48.9
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$5.6
Yes position
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.73
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$3.73
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $5.12
- Potential payout
- $48.78
- Potential profit
- $43.66
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$14.88
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next Pope be from North America?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Will Sydney Sweeney break up with her fiancé before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.71
Yes position
Will the next Pope be named Leo?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.95
Yes position
Will 'Otonoke' win Crunchyroll's Best Anime Song Award for 2025?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.48
Yes position
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $115-125m?
Ends Jul 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.73
Yes position
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.56
Yes position
Will Kevin Spacey be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
Yes position
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.52
Yes position
Will Hillary Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.45
Yes position
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.71
Yes position
Pakistan military strike on India by Friday?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 65-66°F on November 8?
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
Yes position
Missing Epstein cell footage released in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.25
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.71
Yes position
Will F1 be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.12
Yes position
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.73
Yes position
Will the Netherlands government fall before Summer Recess?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.74
Yes position
North Korea missile test before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.83
No position
Will Trump say "Beautiful wife" or "Wonderful wife" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?
Ends Sep 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.52
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.3
No position
Will Kathy Bates win the Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series?
Ends Sep 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.67
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?Yes 13% 7.69 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?Yes 11% 9.09 shares
- Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?Yes 17% 5.88 shares
- Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?Yes 11% 9.09 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?Yes 25% 4 shares
- Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?Yes 6% 16.67 shares
- Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?Yes 6% 16.67 shares
- Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?Yes 7% 14.29 shares
- Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?Yes 16% 6.25 shares
- Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?Yes 8% 12.5 shares
- Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?Yes 17% 5.88 shares
- Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?Yes 9% 22.22 shares