Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $6.51K
- Potential payout
- $24.12K
- Potential profit
- $17.61K
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$3.53K
Polymarket Trader
l3thar
0x2fadc932219a1244ecf34d7bfa15fe6dbb89f5c0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $25.73K
- Realized PnL
- $58.35K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $11.7K
- Potential payout
- $17.2K
- Potential profit
- $5.5K
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $3.48K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $7.52K
- Potential payout
- $8.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $3.64K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.67K
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.3K
No position
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.71K
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.44K
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.42K
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.38K
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48K
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63K
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33K
No position
Iran strike on Qatar today?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
No position
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $960.97
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $854.03
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $767.1
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $606.79
No position
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $415.87
Yes position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $390.04
No position
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $367.97
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.24
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.64
Yes position
US military action against Iran by Saturday?
Ends Jun 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.87
Yes position
Iran strike on Qatar today?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.14
Yes position
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes 99% 1,455 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes 97% 1,300 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes 88% 60 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes 38% 1,300 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 82% 1,200 shares
- Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?Yes 51.4% 411.96 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 81.3% 2,000 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes 37% 115.76 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes 41% 206.59 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes 39% 30 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes 32% 10.16 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes 55% 999.99 shares