No position
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $93.77
- Potential payout
- $183.86
- Potential profit
- $90.09
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- -$5.52
Polymarket Trader
buddy-826
0x2fbac26a71a8b2782dc4c3860b0a0c1e279dd94c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $93.77
- Realized PnL
- -$91.79
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Kamala say "not going back" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.94
Yes position
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.51
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46
Yes position
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36
Yes position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.83
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.56
Yes position
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.77
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris say "abortion" during DNC speech?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.27
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Trump and Harris debate before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Yes position
Will Trump and Harris debate before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.09
Yes position
Biden confirmed to have Parkison's by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.32
Rams position
Rams vs. Bears
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.62
Yes position
Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.92
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.7
Yes position
Trump and Harris agree to Fox News debate?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.5
Yes position
Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24.69
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$31.74
Yes position
JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$32.7
Yes position
Will Kamala say "liar" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?
Ends Nov 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$85.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?No 54% 183.86 shares
- Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes 15.1% 319.28 shares
- Rams vs. BearsRams 53% 34.67 shares
- Rams vs. BearsRams 57.7% 34.68 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?No 54% 44.94 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes 4% 206.34 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?No 44% 22.73 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes 21% 95.24 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?No 45% 22.22 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes 18% 111.11 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No 26.3% 524.49 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No 28.6% 476.49 shares