Polymarket Trader

0x2FC0b4515B357e152a5a07FD7AfaCb1C496EeaC0-1760609295959

0x2fc0b4515b357e152a5a07fd7afacb1c496eeac0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.13K
Realized PnL: $3.16K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $535.17
Potential payout: $9.73K
Potential profit: $9.2K
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$610.91

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $599.69
Potential payout: $4.14K
Potential profit: $3.54K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$892.18

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.43K
User PnL: -$450

Yes position

Will G2 Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $1.38K
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will CTBC Flying Oyster win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $961.52
Potential profit: $961.52
User PnL: -$25

Gen.G position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Gen.G (BO1)

Ends Oct 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $663.61
Potential profit: $663.61
User PnL: -$378.79

Hanwha Life Esports position

LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $461.31
Potential profit: $461.31
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $450.83
Potential profit: $450.83
User PnL: -$25

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $401.33
Potential profit: $401.33
User PnL: -$227.38

Felix Auger-Aliassime position

Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniil Medvedev

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$184

Andrey Rublev position

Dubai Tennis Championships: Andrey Rublev vs Tallon Griekspoor

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $348.61
Potential profit: $348.61
User PnL: -$250

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $275.45
Potential profit: $275.45
User PnL: -$100

Vivo Keyd Stars position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3)

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $227.27
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Kinetiq FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $183.33
Potential profit: $183.33
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $182.16
Potential profit: $182.16
User PnL: -$25

Anyones Legend position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.81
Potential profit: $87.81
User PnL: -$50

Mensik position

Qatar Open: Arthur Fils vs Jakub Mensik

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.21
Potential profit: $86.21
User PnL: -$50

BNK FEARX position

LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$10

Dplus KIA position

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$25

Cerundolo position

Rio Open: Vit Kopriva vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$20

Khachanov position

Dubai Tennis Championships: Jenson Brooksby vs Karen Khachanov

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.06
Potential profit: $39.06
User PnL: -$25

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$25

Wawrinka position

Dubai Tennis Championships: Daniil Medvedev vs Stan Wawrinka

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $980.04

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $575.5

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $481.09

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.7

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.48

Top Esports position

LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.56

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.25

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.41

Movistar KOI position

LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.16

KT Rolster position

LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.07

CTBC Flying Oyster position

LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest (BO3)

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.29

Rublev position

Qatar Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Andrey Rublev

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.72

Hanwha Life Esports position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.14

Gen.G position

LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.21

Korda position

Delray Beach Open: Tommy Paul vs Sebastian Korda

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.02

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.76

Cobolli position

Delray Beach Open: Coleman Wong vs Flavio Cobolli

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.45

Busta position

Dubai Tennis Championships: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Denis Shapovalov

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.57

Paul position

Delray Beach Open: Tommy Paul vs Learner Tien

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.67

Alcaraz position

Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Karen Khachanov

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.47

Tiafoe position

Mexican Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Nuno Borges

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.79

Tien position

Delray Beach Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.56

Popyrin position

Dubai Tennis Championships: Alexei Popyrin vs Kamil Majchrzak

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.23

Humbert position

Dubai Tennis Championships: Ugo Humbert vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.52

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

No 52.7% 241.79 shares
US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Yes 33% 277.78 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

No 33.1% 150.95 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

No 52.5% 95.24 shares
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?

Yes 8% 312.5 shares
US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Yes 36% 277.78 shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?

Yes 11% 227.27 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

No 40.2% 124.5 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

No 77.8% 64.3 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 25% 400 shares
US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Yes 34% 1,428.57 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 62% 304.65 shares