No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $14.58K
- Potential payout
- $16.47K
- Potential profit
- $1.89K
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$232.64
Polymarket Trader
orlovgraf
0x2fcb7cf03c82a5e85c696902055bfc38d821e48f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $21.47K
- Realized PnL
- $7.1K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $5.42K
- Potential payout
- $5.43K
- Potential profit
- $8.14
- User PnL
- $246.76
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.33K
- Potential profit
- $5.33K
- User PnL
- -$5.24K
No position
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.41K
- Potential profit
- $2.41K
- User PnL
- -$1.66K
No position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $1.48K
- Potential payout
- $1.58K
- Potential profit
- $102.96
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $28.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $728
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $704.6
No position
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $683.08
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $644.83
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $585.01
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $560
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $385.81
No position
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $326.64
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $320.4
No position
Iran strike on US military by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $292.99
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243.61
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $217.59
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.81
No position
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.33
No position
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.8
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.18
No position
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by February 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.22
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.96
No position
US forces enter Iran by February 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.68
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.17
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.7
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $77.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No 59% 1,215 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No 60% 579 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No 67% 155.48 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No 71% 42.44 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?No 99.8% 7,046.38 shares
- US forces enter Iran by February 28?No 98.8% 1,992 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 98.3% 1,816 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 98.2% 3,517 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 89% 1,920 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 89% 11,140 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 90% 4,890 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No 90% 1,200 shares