Polymarket Trader

0x2fcc...2ef5

0x2fcc9f42900d7bb259ba571017242bec27402ef5

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $12.96
Realized PnL: -$0.13
Win rate: 14.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.37
Potential payout: $392.37
Potential profit: $391
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $388.18
Potential profit: $388.18
User PnL: -$1.28

Yes position

Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $296.22
Potential profit: $296.22
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $18.95
Potential profit: $18.83
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $13.29
Potential profit: $13.07
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.98
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.2%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.09
Multiplier: 10.93x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Fred Couples win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $9.78

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.49
Potential profit: $9.49
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $9.28
Potential profit: $9.15
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $9.2
Potential profit: $9.14
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $9.17
Potential profit: $9.1
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.82
Potential profit: $8.82
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.77
Potential profit: $8.77
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.89
Potential profit: $7.89
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.26
Potential profit: $6.26
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.08
Potential profit: $5.08
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.97
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.6%
Multiplier: 4.64x
User PnL: $0.78

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14%
Multiplier: 7.17x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.4%
Multiplier: 7.49x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.3%
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.1%
Multiplier: 6.64x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.7%
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.5%
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.14

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.13

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.5% 67 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.6% 67 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 6.8% 15 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 6.7% 15 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 6.9% 15 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Yes 7% 15 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Yes 8% 15 shares
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 2% 50 shares
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 2.1% 50 shares
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.7% 143 shares
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.8% 143 shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 8.5% 12 shares