Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $506.07
- Potential profit
- $506.07
- User PnL
- -$25
Polymarket Trader
ulmen
0x2fd79351f338ac44dfb5b31ddabfb05b6d6745fd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $67.55
- Realized PnL
- $434.51
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $263.19
- Potential profit
- $263.19
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $226.81
- Potential profit
- $226.81
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $217.39
- Potential profit
- $217.39
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.2%
- Current value
- $36.21
- Potential payout
- $171.22
- Potential profit
- $135.01
- Multiplier
- 4.73x
- User PnL
- $16.21
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $5.89
- Potential payout
- $161.29
- Potential profit
- $155.4
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$4.11
Yes position
Will Amazon (AMZN) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of January 26?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130.69
- Potential profit
- $130.69
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $126.25
- Potential profit
- $126.25
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $124.37
- Potential profit
- $124.37
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Make Iran Great Again" during WEF Address on January 21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108.53
- Potential profit
- $108.53
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Jay-Z perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.02
- Potential profit
- $99.02
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Charli XCX perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $87.87
- Potential profit
- $87.87
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.2%
- Current value
- $9.34
- Potential payout
- $83.76
- Potential profit
- $74.43
- Multiplier
- 8.97x
- User PnL
- -$20.66
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $79.53
- Potential profit
- $79.53
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Kim Jong Un in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.18
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$4.75
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $15.86
- Potential payout
- $69.12
- Potential profit
- $53.26
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- $0.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.78
- Potential profit
- $67.78
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67
- Potential profit
- $67
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Benson Boone perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.4
- Potential profit
- $61.4
- User PnL
- -$11.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.07
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47.06
No position
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.32
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.58
No position
TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.18
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.51
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.36
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.53
Down position
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.2% 54.95 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 21.7% 69.12 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETUp 53% 9.43 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETUp 76% 32.89 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?Yes 15.8% 31.65 shares
- Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?Yes 25% 40 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETUp 79% 27.25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETUp 32% 15.63 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETUp 43% 11.63 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETUp 74% 6.76 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?Yes 48% 52.12 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?Yes 12% 41.67 shares