No position
Will "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.55K
- Potential profit
- $15.55K
- User PnL
- -$204.51
Polymarket Trader
.chat
0x2fdb5df2a326fdfad9ebd030cafe72359da88ffc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.69K
- Realized PnL
- $10.86K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will "Doors - Noah Kahan" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.88K
- Potential profit
- $5.88K
- User PnL
- -$56.68
Yes position
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.21K
- Potential profit
- $2.21K
- User PnL
- -$300.26
Yes position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $1.98K
- Potential payout
- $2.05K
- Potential profit
- $64.44
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $12.84
No position
Will "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the top US Netflix show this week?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Will Adele be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Taylor Swift be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bad Bunny be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Sam Smith be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Timothée Chalamet be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Ice Spice be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Frank Ocean be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $916.43
- Potential profit
- $916.43
- User PnL
- -$299.88
No position
Will A$AP Rocky be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $708.98
- Potential profit
- $708.98
- User PnL
- -$288
No position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $554.84
- Potential payout
- $581.6
- Potential profit
- $26.75
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$9.24
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $320.25
- Potential payout
- $320.74
- Potential profit
- $0.48
- User PnL
- $20.8
No position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $315.24
- Potential payout
- $317.3
- Potential profit
- $2.06
- User PnL
- $14.66
No position
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $315.5
- Potential payout
- $316.61
- Potential profit
- $1.11
- User PnL
- $15.5
No position
Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $316.6
- Potential profit
- $316.6
- User PnL
- -$41.24
Yes position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $313.78
- Potential payout
- $315.51
- Potential profit
- $1.74
- User PnL
- $13.71
No position
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $308.89
- Potential payout
- $310.91
- Potential profit
- $2.02
- User PnL
- $8.89
No position
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $307.89
- Potential payout
- $309.28
- Potential profit
- $1.39
- User PnL
- $7.89
No position
Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $263.46
- Potential payout
- $266.25
- Potential profit
- $2.8
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $7.85
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $4.15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $95.85
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$5.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.08K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
No position
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
Yes position
Will Gwendoline Christie be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $504.83
No position
Will Doja Cat be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $414.79
Yes position
Will "Iceman" - Drake 2nd week album sales be between 200k and 225k?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $345.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $294.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.5
Yes position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.49
No position
Will "Iceman" - Drake 2nd week album sales be between 225k and 250k?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $223.2
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.7
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.17
Yes position
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.59
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.48
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.83
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?No 97% 22.14 shares
- Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?No 97% 200 shares
- Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?No 95% 30 shares
- Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 95% 50 shares
- Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?No 94% 20 shares
- Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 93.1% 79.88 shares
- Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?No 96% 38.77 shares
- Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 96% 185.64 shares
- Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?No 96.9% 20 shares
- Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?No 96.9% 20 shares
- Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?No 97% 4.99 shares
- Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?No 25.6% 329.83 shares