Polymarket Trader

futureisyours

0x2fe1c0ce9e968e98d6fe44c601ddd268627ab7e5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.82K
Realized PnL: $23.56K
Win rate: 90.9%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1M
Potential profit: $1M
User PnL: -$9.61K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $195.78K
Potential profit: $195.78K
User PnL: -$3.5K

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $183.11K
Potential profit: $183.11K
User PnL: -$3.4K

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $5.19K
Potential payout: $95.29K
Potential profit: $90.09K
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$1.41K

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $6.63K
Potential payout: $66.64K
Potential profit: $60.01K
Multiplier: 10.05x
User PnL: -$617.33

Yes position

Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.35K
Potential profit: $17.35K
User PnL: -$850

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.22K
Potential profit: $17.22K
User PnL: -$2.8K

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo drop out?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.33K
Potential profit: $16.33K
User PnL: -$299.98

No position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.74K
Potential profit: $12.74K
User PnL: -$2.6K

No position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.24K
Potential profit: $12.24K
User PnL: -$6.5K

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $12K
User PnL: -$2K

No position

Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?

Ends Aug 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.81K
Potential profit: $10.81K
User PnL: -$1.6K

Yes position

Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.4K
Potential profit: $10.4K
User PnL: -$299.99

Yes position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.48K
Potential profit: $8.48K
User PnL: -$2K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.98K
Potential profit: $4.98K
User PnL: -$1.4K

No position

US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?

Ends Aug 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.5K
User PnL: -$739.99

No position

Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?

Ends Aug 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.44K
Potential profit: $3.44K
User PnL: -$400

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?

Ends Sep 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.1K
Potential profit: $3.1K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94K
Potential profit: $2.94K
User PnL: -$1.5K

Yes position

Will Russia recapture territory in Vilne by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.9K
Potential profit: $2.9K
User PnL: -$1.7K

No position

Will AG Blanche meet with Ghislaine Maxwell by Friday?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $618.3
Potential profit: $618.3
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will Russia recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.97
Potential profit: $222.97
User PnL: -$130

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.97K

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51K

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34K

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $769

No position

Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $480.91

No position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $470.59

Yes position

Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $451.68

No position

Will Trump say the "N word" in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $370.11

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $288.13

Down position

XRP Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.83

Up position

XRP Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$177

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Yes 86% 2,869.37 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Yes 86% 3,000 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Yes 86% 3,000 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Yes 69% 8,869.38 shares
XRP Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Down 55.1% 30.83 shares
XRP Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Down 50% 20 shares
XRP Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Down 50% 50 shares
XRP Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Down 50% 100 shares
XRP Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Up 87.7% 2.28 shares
XRP Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Up 85% 17.65 shares
XRP Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Up 84% 190.59 shares
Will Russia recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by November 30?

Yes 58.3% 222.97 shares