Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Current value
- $6.67
- Potential payout
- $33.29
- Potential profit
- $26.62
- Multiplier
- 4.99x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Polymarket Trader
ajsmith420
0x2fecd57ea6edb660070eae2e0f39cdab484b4d4d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $58.36
- Realized PnL
- $184.11
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $4.82
- Potential payout
- $27.52
- Potential profit
- $22.7
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
No position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $13.52
- Potential payout
- $23.31
- Potential profit
- $9.79
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $15.18
- Potential payout
- $15.27
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $14.05
- Potential payout
- $14.32
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.1%
- Current value
- $4.13
- Potential payout
- $12.88
- Potential profit
- $8.75
- Multiplier
- 3.12x
- User PnL
- $1.93
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.58
Argentina position
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.46
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.86
England position
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.32
Yes position
Will Kyrgyz Republic vs. Palestine end in a draw?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.66
Boston Red Sox position
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.86
FUT Esports position
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.6
KT Rolster position
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.13
B8 position
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.59
Milwaukee Brewers position
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.56
LGD Gaming position
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.82
Cleveland Guardians position
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.71
Daniel Altmaier position
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaier
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.49
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
San Francisco Giants position
San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.88
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.59
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.91
Los Angeles Angels position
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.88
Chicago White Sox position
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
No position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.67
Milwaukee Brewers position
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58
LNG Esports position
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-In
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 98.3% 14.32 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 87.7% 14.89 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 95.4% 14.89 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 9?Yes 97.6% 15.27 shares
- Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Yes 41% 21.11 shares
- 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?No 89.1% 24.45 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 17.1% 37.71 shares
- 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?No 89.4% 24.45 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 17.4% 37.71 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 19.5% 33.29 shares
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No 58% 23.31 shares
- Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?Yes 19% 27.52 shares