Polymarket Trader

echo165135

0x2ff4c22c59a0b45f33078a56b583e7ec238017d1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $42.22
Realized PnL: $7.25K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.55K
User PnL: -$116.88

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $377.16
Potential profit: $376.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$154.45

Yes position

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $268.01
Potential profit: $268.01
User PnL: -$74.92

Yes position

Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $26.78
Potential payout: $255
Potential profit: $228.23
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$21.68

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.58
Potential profit: $71.58
User PnL: -$22.19

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $11.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $38.25
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$11.25

Yes position

Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $3.49
Potential payout: $28
Potential profit: $24.51
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: -$2.11

Yes position

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $3.47
Potential profit: $3.44
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.95

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

China-Vietnam trade deal before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $850.23

Yes position

TikTok on App Store again before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $640.72

Yes position

Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $607.04

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $557.84

No position

Major cyberattack on Iran in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $550.35

Yes position

Ethereum above $3,300 on January 17?

Ends Jan 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $463.96

Yes position

Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $422.21

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $387.08

Yes position

Barron Trump public statement before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $280.07

Yes position

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $265.3

Yes position

Trump x Xi talk before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260.72

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris endorse Mamdani?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260

Yes position

Will Luisa González win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?

Ends Apr 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $245

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195

Yes position

Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $192.21

Yes position

Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189.25

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138

Yes position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Japan in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131

Yes position

Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 98.6%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $122.86

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88000 on Mar 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $118.44

Yes position

Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96

Yes position

French election called by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $92.46

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.98

Yes position

Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.31

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?

Yes 7.6% 750 shares
Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?

Yes 7.5% 15 shares
Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?

Yes 7.5% 783.47 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

Yes 33% 48.66 shares
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?

Yes 29% 163.84 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 99.7% 154.58 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 60% 46.07 shares
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?

Yes 25% 12 shares
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?

Yes 25% 47.56 shares
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?

Yes 24% 8.46 shares
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Yes 29% 20 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Yes 31% 71.58 shares