Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $3.21
- Potential payout
- $2.14K
- Potential profit
- $2.14K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$46.79
Polymarket Trader
ynadinsky
0x2ff67970fd327d8895bd4ed3b28a0e9af8327c7b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.18K
- Realized PnL
- $1.8K
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $57.86
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.37K
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$42.14
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $133.86
- Potential payout
- $1.41K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$66.13
Yes position
Will Israel Adesanya be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $4.92
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.08
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $92.59
- Potential payout
- $740.74
- Potential profit
- $648.15
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$107.41
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $535.2
- Potential payout
- $695.06
- Potential profit
- $159.86
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $35.2
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $528.85
- Potential payout
- $641.03
- Potential profit
- $112.18
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $28.85
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $83.53
- Potential payout
- $598.8
- Potential profit
- $515.27
- Multiplier
- 7.17x
- User PnL
- -$16.47
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $523.42
- Potential payout
- $526.32
- Potential profit
- $2.89
- User PnL
- $23.42
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.6%
- Current value
- $94.52
- Potential payout
- $438.6
- Potential profit
- $344.08
- Multiplier
- 4.64x
- User PnL
- $19.52
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $370.37
- Potential profit
- $370.37
- User PnL
- -$100
Pacquiao position
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $127.5
- Potential payout
- $265.62
- Potential profit
- $138.12
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $27.5
No position
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $243.37
- Potential profit
- $243.37
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $146.87
- Potential payout
- $208.33
- Potential profit
- $61.46
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $46.88
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $195.62
- Potential payout
- $208.33
- Potential profit
- $12.71
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $95.63
Yes position
Will Arman Tsarukyan become UFC champion in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $74.13
- Potential payout
- $190.07
- Potential profit
- $115.94
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- -$25.87
Yes position
Will Alexander Volkov become UFC champion in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $16.62
- Potential payout
- $185.75
- Potential profit
- $169.13
- Multiplier
- 11.17x
- User PnL
- -$83.38
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $178.57
- Potential profit
- $178.57
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $153.85
- Potential profit
- $153.85
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $131.53
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $1.8
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $31.53
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $109.04
- Potential payout
- $120.48
- Potential profit
- $11.45
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $9.04
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $106.52
- Potential payout
- $112.36
- Potential profit
- $5.84
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $6.52
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $106.06
- Potential payout
- $107.56
- Potential profit
- $1.51
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $14.06
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $106.12
- Potential payout
- $106.38
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- User PnL
- $6.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $455.56
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $427.36
Sean Strickland position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $400
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228.16
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.67
Yes position
UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.84
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.11
Alexander Volkov position
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.04
No position
Will Trump say "Hantavirus" this week?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.03
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.89
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.08
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.87
Yes position
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.53
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Justin Gaethje position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Derrick Lewis position
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 30% 333.33 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)Derrick Lewis 22% 454.55 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Alex Pereira 50% 400 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Justin Gaethje 20% 1,000 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 85.5% 107.56 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No 71.9% 695.06 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 95% 526.32 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?No 59.4% 841.34 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 70% 714.29 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 11% 909.09 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 2.3% 2,140.89 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?No 33.7% 594.03 shares