Polymarket Trader

UnfilteredThoughts

0x2ff945b540a04d964d5243b8d5e2b6a1206b8fdb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $62.95
Realized PnL: $10
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $22.97
Potential payout: $23
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.99
Potential profit: $14.99
User PnL: -$14.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $14
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $14
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$0.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $12.99
Potential payout: $12.99
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.98
Potential profit: $12.98
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$0.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$11.88

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$0.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $12
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $11
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $11
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $11
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $11
User PnL: -$0.22

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $11
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $11
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $11
User PnL: -$0.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

No position

Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

No position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 12.5m and 13.5m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12.5m?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 62 million views on day 5?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or below on June 26?

No 99% 11 shares
Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?

No 99.8% 23 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 25?

No 98% 14 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 24?

No 98% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 23?

No 98% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 22?

No 98% 12 shares
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 21?

No 99% 14 shares
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?

No 99.6% 30 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 19?

No 98% 15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 17?

No 98.8% 15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 16?

No 99% 12 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 15?

No 98% 11 shares