Polymarket Trader

marseille

0x3007ea6df4389c173a5119162be94aac6bba763a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.96K
Realized PnL: $8.41K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $296.07
Potential payout: $9.11K
Potential profit: $8.81K
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: $96.08

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $3.96K
Potential payout: $4.57K
Potential profit: $617.53
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $56.79

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $264
Potential payout: $4.36K
Potential profit: $4.1K
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: $64.01

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $3.91K
Potential payout: $4.13K
Potential profit: $227.34
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.51K

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $1.14K
Potential payout: $2.35K
Potential profit: $1.21K
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$157.92

No position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $1.68K
Potential payout: $2.14K
Potential profit: $459.94
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$20.68

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.7%
Current value: $189.86
Potential payout: $1.97K
Potential profit: $1.78K
Multiplier: 10.36x
User PnL: -$10.14

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $497.25
Potential payout: $549.45
Potential profit: $52.2
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$2.75

No position

Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $408.79
Potential payout: $428.27
Potential profit: $19.49
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $8.79

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $203.56
Potential payout: $280.78
Potential profit: $77.21
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $3.56

No position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $101.99
Potential payout: $248.76
Potential profit: $146.77
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: -$48.01

Yes position

Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $198.2
Potential payout: $233.18
Potential profit: $34.98
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $116.67
Potential payout: $123.46
Potential profit: $6.79
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $16.67

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Saturday?

Ends Jul 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7K

Yes position

Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26K

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

Yes position

Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $838.82

Yes position

Kristin Cabot out as Astronomer CPO in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $830.01

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $754.59

Yes position

Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $529.81

No position

Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 20?

Ends Sep 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $267.27

No position

Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $164.2

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nvidia" during his AI speech on July 23?

Ends Jul 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.26

Yes position

Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.3

No position

Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner engaged in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.24

Yes position

Will Eric Adams drop out?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.06

No position

Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.94

No position

Tea App removed from App Store by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.04

No position

Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.41

Yes position

Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.15

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.91

Yes position

Will Trump say "Biden" during his AI speech on July 23?

Ends Jul 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.9

Yes position

Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 3?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.63

No position

Justin & Hailey Bieber divorce in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.43

No position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.4

No position

Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.19

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 58% 517.24 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 58.1% 1,719.71 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 58% 1,724.14 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 58% 172.41 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.3% 4,347.83 shares
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 74.2% 134.22 shares
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 74.5% 134.23 shares
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 10.2% 1,967.43 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.1% 4,761.9 shares
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Yes 81% 123.46 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 88% 340.91 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 88% 113.64 shares