Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.7K
- Potential payout
- $1.94K
- Potential profit
- $242.16
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $225.89
Polymarket Trader
Crazykekbr
@EminemTupniquim
0x300f731f044a7fe9e50daab6f9fc3f319b61d366
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.52K
- Realized PnL
- $10.55K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $189.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $810.5
- Multiplier
- 5.28x
- User PnL
- $78.5
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.6%
- Current value
- $541.59
- Potential payout
- $611.62
- Potential profit
- $70.03
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $3.13
Yes position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $364.56
- Potential payout
- $461.47
- Potential profit
- $96.91
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $46.49
Yes position
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $378
- Potential payout
- $420
- Potential profit
- $42
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $63
No position
Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $401.84
- Potential payout
- $410.46
- Potential profit
- $8.62
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $165.39
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $36.42
- Potential payout
- $404.68
- Potential profit
- $368.25
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$144.57
Yes position
Maduro guilty of all counts?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $49.53
- Potential payout
- $283.03
- Potential profit
- $233.5
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$112.71
Yes position
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.67
- Potential payout
- $268.17
- Potential profit
- $267.5
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$11.1
Yes position
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $141.95
- Potential payout
- $246.86
- Potential profit
- $104.92
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $21.95
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $215.48
- Potential payout
- $238.1
- Potential profit
- $22.62
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $15.48
No position
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $159
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $41
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $55
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $97.05
- Potential payout
- $106.06
- Potential profit
- $9.02
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $25.98
No position
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $57.25
- Potential payout
- $103.16
- Potential profit
- $45.91
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $17.11
Yes position
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $6.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $93.95
- Multiplier
- 16.53x
- User PnL
- $3.85
Yes position
Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $6.95
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $93.05
- Multiplier
- 14.39x
- User PnL
- -$26.05
No position
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $79.02
- Potential payout
- $80.06
- Potential profit
- $1.04
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $32.02
Yes position
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $3.6
- Potential payout
- $80.03
- Potential profit
- $76.43
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$15.81
Yes position
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $63.25
- Potential profit
- $63.22
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.71
Yes position
Another Elon baby by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.3
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$12.8
No position
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $27.23
- Potential payout
- $47.78
- Potential profit
- $20.55
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $15.05
Yes position
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $19.8
- Potential payout
- $39.2
- Potential profit
- $19.4
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $8.6
No position
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $26.82
- Potential payout
- $30.83
- Potential profit
- $4.01
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $17.57
No position
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $22.88
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $2.13
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $2.63
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Europa League Final: 3+ goals?
Ends May 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12K
Yes position
Brazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Imavov position
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho
Ends Sep 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $686.8
Ofli position
Ramos vs. Ofli
Ends Oct 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $578.95
Movistar KOI position
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic
Ends Sep 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $560.95
Pyfer position
Magomedov vs. Pyfer
Ends Oct 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $553.68
Thainara position
UFC Fight Night: Lookboonmee vs. Thainara
Ends Sep 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $509.29
Bilibili Gaming position
League of Legends: Invictus Gaming vs. Bilibili Gaming
Ends Sep 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $470.91
Kraken position
Golden Knights vs. Kraken
Ends Oct 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $454.94
JD Gaming position
League of Legends: Bilibili Gaming vs. JD Gaming
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $372.64
Pinas position
Costa vs. Pinas
Ends Oct 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $355.96
Montague position
UFC Fight Night: Carolina vs. Montague
Ends Sep 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284.36
Team Orange Gaming position
LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs Veni Vidi Vici
Ends Sep 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $277.97
FURIA position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs M80 (BO3)
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $274.15
Paper Rex position
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports
Ends Sep 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.46
Panthers position
Senators vs. Panthers
Ends Oct 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.61
PRX position
Valorant: PRX vs Team Heretics
Ends Sep 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.92
Yes position
Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.89
No position
Will MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.31
Dvalishvili position
Dvalishvili vs. Sandhagen
Ends Oct 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.31
Celtics position
NBA Playoffs: Celtics vs. Knicks (To Advance)
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $175.69
No position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.94
No position
X Money launch in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.21
No position
Will Atlas have an iOS app live by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.91
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?Yes 16% 293.5 shares
- Will Oro launch a token by June 30, 2026?No 98% 18.3 shares
- Will Perena launch a token by June 30, 2026?No 99.7% 5.12 shares
- Will Exponent launch a token by June 30, 2026?No 97.7% 85 shares
- Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?No 97.7% 100 shares
- Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.2% 100 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 96.5% 279.79 shares
- Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?No 35% 57.14 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 93% 312.5 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 83% 156.98 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes 73.5% 547.49 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 89.8% 454.64 shares