No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $26.72K
- Potential payout
- $30.89K
- Potential profit
- $4.17K
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $6.27K
Polymarket Trader
0x301EC7B4FEEC758Bf75E8a4b993D290d287db192-1768065223209
@tuotuo7517
0x301ec7b4feec758bf75e8a4b993d290d287db192
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $28.37K
- Realized PnL
- $11.4K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.53K
- Potential profit
- $3.53K
- User PnL
- -$2.8K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- User PnL
- -$1.04K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $1.15K
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $53.4
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $210.6
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$744
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $849.99
- Potential profit
- $849.99
- User PnL
- -$428.99
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$324
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $339.99
- Potential profit
- $339.99
- User PnL
- -$222.39
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $297.44
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $2.55
- User PnL
- $208.99
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $212.75
- Potential payout
- $230
- Potential profit
- $17.25
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $17.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.26
- Potential profit
- $54.26
- User PnL
- -$39.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.92
- Potential profit
- $22.92
- User PnL
- -$19.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.66K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $902.24
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $697.75
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $628.52
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $330
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $320.01
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $256.37
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $224
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222
No position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.86
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.08
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.6
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.02
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.32
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66
No position
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58
No position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.73
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.88
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 42.7% 2,000 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes 66% 200 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 8?No 97.2% 151.01 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 76.9% 2,663.86 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes 88% 1,136.36 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?Yes 93% 1,401.13 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 71% 173.17 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?No 85% 526.82 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 68% 3,000 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes 69% 260.96 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes 69.3% 2,120.17 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETDown 98% 102.03 shares