Polymarket Trader

oldshadow

0x30236b29df89a7f203c027f58f62450f5b0b465c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $13.1
Realized PnL: $629.1
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.25
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.78
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $221.44
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.22

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $198.9
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $1.79
Potential payout: $143.59
Potential profit: $141.79
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.64
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.79

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $110.17
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $61.59
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $54.97
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.78
Potential profit: $50.78
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $1.45
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $46.17
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $2.4
Potential payout: $41.74
Potential profit: $39.34
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $1.56
Potential payout: $35.87
Potential profit: $34.32
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$0.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34
Potential profit: $34
User PnL: -$2.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34
Potential profit: $34
User PnL: -$8.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34
Potential profit: $34
User PnL: -$8.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34
Potential profit: $34
User PnL: -$8.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34
Potential profit: $34
User PnL: -$5.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.46
Potential profit: $32.46
User PnL: -$3.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$8.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.23
Potential profit: $25.23
User PnL: -$2.39

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.57

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 45°F or below on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on February 26?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C or higher on February 12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on February 11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on February 16?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.92

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 27?

Yes 29% 21 shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 27?

Yes 15% 20 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 27?

Yes 24% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on June 27?

Yes 12.3% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 27?

Yes 21.4% 18 shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 27?

Yes 29% 20 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 27?

Yes 13.2% 21 shares
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 26?

Yes 16% 12 shares
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 26?

Yes 27% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 26?

Yes 9% 12 shares
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 26?

Yes 27% 8 shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 27?

Yes 15% 20 shares