Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $94.11
- Potential payout
- $2.44K
- Potential profit
- $2.35K
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- $6.23
Polymarket Trader
0x3024821d3a7a3fFa5f1258Bab54BD906D9e6B996-1777812964640
0x3024821d3a7a3ffa5f1258bab54bd906d9e6b996
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $223.98
- Realized PnL
- $5.56K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $112.26
- Potential payout
- $831.52
- Potential profit
- $719.26
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $10.54
No position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $341.35
- Potential profit
- $341.35
- User PnL
- -$8.32
Yes position
Will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $9.52
- Potential payout
- $221.82
- Potential profit
- $212.31
- Multiplier
- 23.31x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
No position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $210
- Potential profit
- $210
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Down position
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $201.82
- Potential profit
- $201.82
- User PnL
- -$1.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $178.52
- Potential profit
- $178.52
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $159.43
- Potential profit
- $159.43
- User PnL
- -$3.05
Yes position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $147.94
- Potential profit
- $147.94
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Meta (META) Up or Down on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $134.49
- Potential profit
- $134.49
- User PnL
- -$3.23
Up position
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $8.1
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $81.9
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.7
- Potential profit
- $86.7
- User PnL
- -$10.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.14
- Potential profit
- $86.14
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85.99
- Potential profit
- $85.99
- User PnL
- -$34.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85.51
- Potential profit
- $85.51
- User PnL
- -$6.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85
- Potential profit
- $85
- User PnL
- -$19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $82.56
- Potential profit
- $82.56
- User PnL
- -$7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $82.42
- Potential profit
- $82.42
- User PnL
- -$4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.64
- Potential profit
- $73.64
- User PnL
- -$6.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $72.5
- Potential profit
- $72.5
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $72.45
- Potential profit
- $72.45
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.46
- Potential profit
- $70.46
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $581.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $509.16
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $313.31
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $303.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $269.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $250.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $247.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.72
No position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $207.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $143.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes 10% 90 shares
- Will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?Yes 5.7% 47.07 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 4% 27.94 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 4.2% 130 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.7% 252.3 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.7% 1,205.28 shares
- Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?Yes 14% 298.13 shares
- Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?Yes 13% 80 shares
- Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?Yes 12% 190 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETDown 30% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETDown 30% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETDown 30% 10 shares