Yes position
Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $436.01
- Potential profit
- $436.01
- User PnL
- -$26
Polymarket Trader
Hkyas
0x303a84a3bf3a3973a130e3309883f1b60cca4b47
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $143.34
- Realized PnL
- $1.87K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX raise between $60B and $70B in its IPO?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $220.68
- Potential profit
- $220.68
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135.77
- Potential profit
- $135.77
- User PnL
- -$86.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $128.25
- Potential profit
- $128.25
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $1.15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.85
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.3%
- Current value
- $67.6
- Potential payout
- $76.6
- Potential profit
- $9
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $36.96
No position
Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.58
- Potential profit
- $71.58
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.9
- Potential profit
- $64.9
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.8
- Potential profit
- $60.8
- User PnL
- -$19.46
No position
Will there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.29
- Potential profit
- $60.29
- User PnL
- -$10
N
No position
Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during Wisconsin events?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $58.82
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 4, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.22
- Potential profit
- $57.22
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will "Love" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 8?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.36
- Potential profit
- $56.36
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $44.86
- Potential payout
- $54.05
- Potential profit
- $9.19
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $24.86
Yes position
Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $5.38
- Potential payout
- $51.25
- Potential profit
- $45.87
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$14.62
No position
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.83
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$4.83
No position
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $24.17
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $17.5
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $14.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $281.08
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.57
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.88
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 4, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.69
No position
Will Trump say "Fake News" during WHCA Dinner events?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.35
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.37
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $92.68
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.43
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.68
No position
Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.92
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.81
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.09
Yes position
Will 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.07
No position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.45
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.67
No position
Will "Government" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 8?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.24
Yes position
Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No 40% 76.6 shares
- Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?Yes 3.3% 183.06 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?No 63.9% 135.77 shares
- Will Trump say "UFC" this week?No 44.3% 67.78 shares
- Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31?Yes 39% 51.25 shares
- Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?No 14% 71.58 shares
- Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?Yes 7.9% 252.95 shares
- Will SpaceX raise between $60B and $70B in its IPO?Yes 4.5% 220.68 shares
- Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?No 37% 54.05 shares
- Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June?No 30.8% 64.9 shares
- Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?No 24% 41.6 shares
- Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in June?No 10% 50 shares