Polymarket Trader

0x303b...c505

0x303b946535addaab66017d04da12e766c61ec505

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $14.77
Realized PnL: -$106.29
Win rate: 41.7%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.99K
Potential profit: $4.99K
User PnL: -$19.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $9.45
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $1.71K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$189.83

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.66K
Potential profit: $1.66K
User PnL: -$9.97

Yes position

Will the US strike Nigeria next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $996.95
Potential profit: $996.95
User PnL: -$9.81

Yes position

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $716.92
Potential profit: $716.92
User PnL: -$76.22

No position

Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $332.33
Potential profit: $332.33
User PnL: -$9.97

Yes position

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $5.31
Potential payout: $50.62
Potential profit: $45.3
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $0.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.27

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.88

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.55

Yes position

Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.67

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.56

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$14.28

Yes position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15.95

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$22.16

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$31.72

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$61.18

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$121.93

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Yes 26.8% 498.5 shares
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

Yes 10% 862.5 shares
Will the US strike Nigeria next?

Yes 0.9% 285.92 shares
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Yes 47% 30 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Yes 55% 733.08 shares
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Yes 47.2% 346.1 shares
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Yes 57% 538.38 shares
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Yes 62% 538.38 shares
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?

Yes 47% 49.36 shares
US government shutdown Saturday?

Yes 51% 738.51 shares
US government shutdown Saturday?

Yes 54% 738.51 shares
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?

Yes 43% 463.72 shares