Polymarket Trader

Oliver99

0x305ad8d705c3c5bc63deb4c7d82554d27378fcd5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $54.68
Realized PnL: $2.26K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.75K
Potential profit: $3.75K
User PnL: -$15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 14?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.72K
Potential profit: $2.72K
User PnL: -$220

Yes position

Will Biden pardon SBF?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.54K
Potential profit: $2.54K
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $16.43
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.41K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$3.57

Yes position

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $1.21K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $38.25
Potential payout: $881.33
Potential profit: $843.08
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$11.1

No position

Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $869.98
Potential profit: $869.98
User PnL: -$400

Yes position

Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $818.53
Potential profit: $818.53
User PnL: -$350

Yes position

Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $667.42
Potential profit: $667.42
User PnL: -$40

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $561.27
Potential profit: $561.27
User PnL: -$250

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $549.85
Potential profit: $549.85
User PnL: -$11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $525.55
Potential profit: $525.55
User PnL: -$28.56

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $522.73
Potential profit: $522.73
User PnL: -$115

No position

US government shutdown by October 1?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $513.58
Potential profit: $513.58
User PnL: -$136.81

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $415.79
Potential profit: $415.79
User PnL: -$79

Yes position

Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $375
Potential profit: $375
User PnL: -$30

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $373.06
Potential profit: $373.06
User PnL: -$116.62

Yes position

Will Inter win on 2025-05-31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $370.37
Potential profit: $370.37
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 10?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $345.26
Potential profit: $345.26
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $344.38
Potential profit: $344.38
User PnL: -$56.75

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $338.98
Potential profit: $338.98
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $326.92
Potential profit: $326.92
User PnL: -$85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $307.94
Potential profit: $307.94
User PnL: -$16.98

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 9?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $262.11

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 12?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.3

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $133.05

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $121.58

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.49

Yes position

Will Barcelona win on 2025-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $107.5

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.41

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-19?

Ends Feb 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $69.5

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 15?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.78

Yes position

Lighter Airdrop on December 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.79

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 12?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.16

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $42.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.31

No position

Will Trump smile in his mugshot?

Ends Apr 30, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 16?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.53

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 28% 168.96 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.6% 884.85 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.4% 24,619.04 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.4% 8,000 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.7% 881.32 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.2% 4,109.99 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3% 1,993.46 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.7% 1,723.3 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.6% 214.29 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.6% 8,333.33 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.6% 555.56 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.1% 952.38 shares