Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.9K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $18.1K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.9K
Polymarket Trader
Lhsbcgeam
0x306045e9bdee8f28a564cfabc980e0372f0216cb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $22.05K
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.2%
- Current value
- $5.85K
- Potential payout
- $15.76K
- Potential profit
- $9.91K
- Multiplier
- 2.69x
- User PnL
- -$540.88
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.9%
- Current value
- $3.76K
- Potential payout
- $15.75K
- Potential profit
- $12K
- Multiplier
- 4.19x
- User PnL
- $311.2
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $4.77K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $225
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $386.36
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $2.67K
- Potential payout
- $3.05K
- Potential profit
- $381.6
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$8.26
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $1.02K
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $68.25
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $23.48
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $1.04K
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $26.6
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $37.24
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $4.65
- User PnL
- $28.41
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US recession by end of 2026?No 88% 2,352.8 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?No 87% 700 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 9% 32,035 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?No 87% 111.14 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?No 88% 3,987.03 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 91.6% 1,092 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No 94% 1,064 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 96.8% 1,033 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 41.8% 7,910 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 21.9% 1,553 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 21.9% 14,200 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 39.4% 6,772 shares