Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $997.49
- Potential payout
- $10.5K
- Potential profit
- $9.5K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.78K
Polymarket Trader
0x30685eF2B62ec87c25Fd43fB2CF2b1426d715c71-1767779709740
0x30685ef2b62ec87c25fd43fb2cf2b1426d715c71
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $997.49
- Realized PnL
- $581.62
- Win rate
- 78.6%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.32
- Potential profit
- $25.32
- User PnL
- -$4.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.43
- Potential profit
- $18.43
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.67
- Potential profit
- $14.67
- User PnL
- -$4.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.71
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $156.11
Army Black Knights position
Army Black Knights vs. Bucknell Bison
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.63
Yes position
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.84
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $23.71
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.38
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.15
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.17
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.4
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 22?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.1
No position
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$79.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETUp 34% 14.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETUp 67% 7.63 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETUp 33% 7.63 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETUp 3% 33.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETUp 8% 28.54 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETUp 7% 28.54 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETDown 6% 16.65 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETDown 11% 12.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETDown 7% 14.27 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETDown 10% 14.27 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETDown 7% 14.27 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETDown 16% 15.97 shares