Polymarket Trader

realtse

0x3069ca04e0ac40a5f00389403a2aa0d5dc47c168

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $74.65
Realized PnL: $123.69
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $7.34
Potential payout: $72.99
Potential profit: $65.66
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$2.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $4.67
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $62
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$5.33

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.4%
Current value: $16.84
Potential payout: $50.51
Potential profit: $33.66
Multiplier: 3.00x
User PnL: $6.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $10.62
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $31.04
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $27.03
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $22.8
Potential payout: $24.39
Potential profit: $1.59
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $12.8

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$10

Germany position

Spread: Germany (-1.5)

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.28
Potential profit: $21.28
User PnL: -$10

Under position

Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.95
Potential profit: $16.95
User PnL: -$10

Norway position

Spread: Norway (-1.5)

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $15.63
User PnL: -$5

Over position

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $15.38
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $10.57
Potential payout: $12.66
Potential profit: $2.09
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $4.88
Potential profit: $3.07
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: -$0.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.15

Over position

Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.79

No position

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.25

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.52

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.39

No position

New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.59

Jordan position

Spread: Argentina (-2.5)

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Under position

France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Belgium position

Spread: Belgium (-1.5)

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score

Yes 41% 4.88 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 41% 24.39 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 2?

Yes 15% 66.67 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 2?

Yes 24% 41.67 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 1?

Yes 79% 12.66 shares
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5

Under 53% 18.87 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 56% 17.86 shares
Spread: Germany (-1.5)

Germany 47% 21.28 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 42% 23.81 shares
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)

Jordan 66% 16.66 shares
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)

Jordan 60% 16.67 shares
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score

No 80% 14.49 shares