No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 8?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
0x306a466b4A67b43a6A4B01E3B73540A3A5Bb9Ff4-1760124935670
0x306a466b4a67b43a6a4b01e3b73540a3a5bb9ff4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.82
- Realized PnL
- $22.31
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.57
- Potential payout
- $39.06
- Potential profit
- $38.49
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Yes position
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $22.22
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $0.37
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $21.37
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Will Apple release HomePod mini successor by December 31?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.82
- Potential profit
- $12.82
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.71
- Potential profit
- $10.71
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $7.94
- Potential payout
- $8.77
- Potential profit
- $0.83
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.94
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $1.94
- Potential payout
- $4.92
- Potential profit
- $2.98
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.06
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.47
- Potential profit
- $3.47
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will The Secret Agent be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.04
Yes position
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-10?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.36
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
Yes position
Will El Ahly SC win on 2026-01-27?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
Yes position
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07
Yes position
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Kanye release BULLY by January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.84
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$3.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 4.6% 21.74 shares
- Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 2.6% 39.06 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 61% 4.92 shares
- Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 98.2% 60.05 shares
- Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 33% 9.09 shares
- Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 28% 10.71 shares
- Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 6% 33.33 shares
- Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes 34.6% 3.47 shares
- Will Kanye release BULLY by January 30?Yes 1.2% 13.33 shares
- Will Kanye release BULLY by January 30?Yes 7.5% 13.33 shares
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-10?Yes 99.2% 56.81 shares
- Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes 55.6% 9.11 shares