No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.18K
- Potential profit
- $6.18K
- User PnL
- -$30.66
Polymarket Trader
lacuna-m1
0x307fe0255c2076697775fcc6be19dd17474cc327
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.23K
- Realized PnL
- $3K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $25.08
- Potential payout
- $5.02K
- Potential profit
- $4.99K
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.87K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $16
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.98K
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.03K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $1.33K
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $59.15
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $640.03
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $167.4
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$103
Yes position
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $53.27
- Potential payout
- $819.49
- Potential profit
- $766.23
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$46.73
Yes position
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $162.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $337.5
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$42.5
Yes position
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $45
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $455
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$18.16
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$225.92
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $364.52
- Potential payout
- $368.76
- Potential profit
- $4.24
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $114.52
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.8
- Potential payout
- $229.99
- Potential profit
- $229.19
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$65.59
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $21
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $179
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$29
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.1%
- Current value
- $19.1
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $80.9
- Multiplier
- 5.24x
- User PnL
- -$22.3
Yes position
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $92.5
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $13
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $87
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$42
Yes position
Will Meta have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$32
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $97.96
- Potential profit
- $97.96
- User PnL
- -$33.3
Yes position
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $1.19
- Potential payout
- $79
- Potential profit
- $77.82
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- -$43.98
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.29
- Potential payout
- $63.7
- Potential profit
- $63.41
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$19.46
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $59.73
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$44.13
Yes position
Stripe IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $3.92
- Potential payout
- $56
- Potential profit
- $52.08
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Yes position
Will any AI model reach 1570 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.44
- Potential payout
- $42
- Potential profit
- $41.56
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$13
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$6.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
No position
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $320.53
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $282.7
No position
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.85
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.11
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.98
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.43
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.27
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.92
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.54
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.98
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $52.93
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.86
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $10.88
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.75
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.8
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $5.68
No position
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C or higher on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.03
No position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.38
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?No 16% 40 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes 74% 60 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Yes 54.7% 15 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Yes 28.9% 229.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 55% 350 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Yes 45.5% 296 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Yes 43% 83 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Yes 51% 62 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Yes 49.9% 115 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Yes 39% 64 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Yes 49.4% 5.23 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 21% 240 shares