Polymarket Trader

banestow

0x30802ddd7117da69c05b2eb6327e94474192337b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $961.07
Realized PnL: $0.8
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 1
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $12.24
Potential payout: $401.18
Potential profit: $388.95
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$3.56

No position

Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $145.19
Potential payout: $257.02
Potential profit: $111.83
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $53.19

No position

Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $37.76
Potential payout: $251.74
Potential profit: $213.98
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$0.37

No position

Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $8.87
Potential payout: $250.64
Potential profit: $241.77
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$0.99

No position

Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $10.53
Potential payout: $223.99
Potential profit: $213.46
Multiplier: 21.28x
User PnL: $1.09

Yes position

Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $117
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $83
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $6

No position

Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $46.42
Potential payout: $197.54
Potential profit: $151.12
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$2.42

No position

Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $3.98
Potential payout: $165.69
Potential profit: $161.72
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $98.16
Potential payout: $140.23
Potential profit: $42.07
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $4.61

No position

Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $103.47
Potential payout: $132.65
Potential profit: $29.18
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $5.15
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $114.85
Multiplier: 23.31x
User PnL: -$0.85

No position

Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $58
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $42
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $58.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $41.5
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $64.85
Potential payout: $92.65
Potential profit: $27.79
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: -$13.41

No position

Will Matt Heilala advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $73.01
Potential payout: $82.5
Potential profit: $9.49
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $25.83
Potential payout: $82
Potential profit: $56.17
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$0.41

No position

Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.4%
Current value: $11.66
Potential payout: $81.26
Potential profit: $69.6
Multiplier: 6.97x
User PnL: $7.2

No position

Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $26.64
Potential payout: $72
Potential profit: $45.36
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $52
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Robert Lulgjuraj be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $3.22
Potential payout: $48.47
Potential profit: $45.25
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$1.48

No position

Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $35.37
Potential payout: $42.36
Potential profit: $6.99
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $4.91
Potential payout: $39.4
Potential profit: $34.49
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will Bad Bunny be the third most streamed artist for 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $5.46
Potential payout: $39
Potential profit: $33.54
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $2.09

No position

Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $1.86
Potential payout: $37.97
Potential profit: $36.11
Multiplier: 20.41x
User PnL: -$0.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?

No 6.1% 37.97 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

No 32% 82 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 11% 12 shares
Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

No 4% 100 shares
Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

No 5% 100 shares
Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

No 15% 23 shares
Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

No 5% 100 shares
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Yes 60% 100 shares
Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

No 6% 18 shares
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

No 4% 100 shares
Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

No 4% 100 shares
Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

No 5% 20 shares