Over position
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$535
Polymarket Trader
Tristanella
0x308e60354fc053d18a1de2de9a4016fd60afb787
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.94
- Realized PnL
- -$48.39
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $11.94
- Potential payout
- $18.79
- Potential profit
- $6.85
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$6.06
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.2
- Potential profit
- $18.2
- User PnL
- -$2.91
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.94
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$8.25
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.02
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$68.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 95.8% 18.79 shares
- France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Over 48% 1,114.58 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 85.2% 23.47 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 92% 147.76 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 67% 147.76 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?Yes 11.9% 131.25 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?Yes 64% 131.25 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?No 99.2% 5.12 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?No 71.5% 116.07 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?No 83.6% 116.08 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 78% 125.34 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 84.6% 125.34 shares