No position
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $188
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $12
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $9
Polymarket Trader
Trexan
0x30a5c08bc7f4d421c6b70da52b2526fe41a2d157
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $646.5
- Realized PnL
- $2.57K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $143.78
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $6.22
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $7.43
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $122.85
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $7.15
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $7.15
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $99.3
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- User PnL
- $22.3
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $43.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $10.73
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $48.83
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $1.17
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.77
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $339.55
Yes position
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.77
Yes position
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192
Yes position
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.56
No position
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.08
Yes position
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $147.47
Yes position
Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 12+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?
Ends Aug 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.6
Yes position
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140
Yes position
Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98
No position
Will Trump say "Pennsylvania" 20 or more times during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.5
Yes position
Will there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?
Ends Dec 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.5
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.8
Yes position
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.48
Yes position
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Pakistan" during Zelensky events on August 18?
Ends Aug 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.4
Yes position
Will Ronaldo x MrBeast video get >20m views on day 1?
Ends Nov 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47.63
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
No position
Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42
Yes position
Will Trump say "Egg" during his 100 Day Commemorative Rally on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42
No position
Will Trump visit Russia before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.35
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?Yes 10% 25 shares
- Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?Yes 10% 25 shares
- Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?Yes 6% 50 shares
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to ScoreNo 80% 100 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?No 82.7% 36.29 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 78% 50 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 79% 50 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 91% 100 shares
- SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?No 98% 40 shares
- SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?No 99% 100 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.8% 100 shares
- Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Yes 81% 70 shares