Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $36.4
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $763.6
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$8.8
Polymarket Trader
NeevS
0x30b2ddfce2d85344b4bb5964b283b7d02c2e1a36
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.75K
- Realized PnL
- $708.22
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 85.7%
- Current value
- $458.4
- Potential payout
- $535.2
- Potential profit
- $76.8
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$57.31
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $374.02
- Potential payout
- $413.28
- Potential profit
- $39.26
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $18.04
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $268.15
- Potential payout
- $310
- Potential profit
- $41.85
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $2.15
No position
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $249.56
- Potential payout
- $250.94
- Potential profit
- $1.38
- User PnL
- $17.93
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $209.48
- Potential payout
- $210
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- User PnL
- $6.7
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $184.76
- Potential payout
- $189.98
- Potential profit
- $5.22
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $4.38
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $173.64
- Potential payout
- $183.84
- Potential profit
- $10.2
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $16.33
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $159.76
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- User PnL
- $5.7
No position
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $148.95
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- User PnL
- $9.71
No position
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $128.64
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $1.37
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.13
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $129.81
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- User PnL
- $2.23
No position
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $118.74
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $1.26
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.86
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $119.82
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- User PnL
- $3.94
No position
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $94.8
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $25.2
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $35
No position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $89.4
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $30.6
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$4.8
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $118.86
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $1.14
- User PnL
- $3.18
No position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $80.5
- Potential payout
- $113.46
- Potential profit
- $32.96
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $23.77
No position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $112.25
- Potential payout
- $113.04
- Potential profit
- $0.79
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $99
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $11
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $4.1
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $104.33
- Potential payout
- $109.99
- Potential profit
- $5.66
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $4.73
No position
Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $99
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $1
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $96.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $3.65
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $95.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $4.5
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.9
No position
Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.71
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $44.9
No position
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $42.76
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.3
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.77
No position
Ethereum all time high by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.41
No position
Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.24
No position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.9
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 25, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.5
No position
Iran Nuke in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.93
Yes position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $19.58
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.25
Yes position
GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.85
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $14.8
Yes position
Israel strike on Iran on June 17?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.44
No position
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.42
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.6
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $11.49
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.33
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.3
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.21
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?No 87% 30 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 98.9% 10 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 98.6% 10 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No 80% 20 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?No 88% 30 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?No 96% 10 shares
- Iran Nuke before 2027?No 94.2% 113.08 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 95% 100 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 98.7% 20 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 98.6% 25.2 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 98.6% 20 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.7% 146.94 shares