Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $22K
- Potential payout
- $27K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $192.32
Polymarket Trader
AuspiciousArt
0x30b7b487e35fb985427bfa2d85194207158de81c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $25.48K
- Realized PnL
- $30.39K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $37.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.96K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$57.5
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.09K
- Potential profit
- $4.09K
- User PnL
- -$3.07K
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.8%
- Current value
- $3.44K
- Potential payout
- $3.83K
- Potential profit
- $392.95
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $341.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.81K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $2.95K
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37K
No position
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04K
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79K
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
No position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 20?
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
No position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $953.86
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $737.35
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $656.92
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $656.91
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $653.01
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $623.7
No position
Weed rescheduled in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $520.33
No position
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $500
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $477.13
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $401.38
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $349.1
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $337.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 98.4% 159.65 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 98.6% 8,666.78 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 99% 2,668.57 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 99.2% 505 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.7% 12,000 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 99.1% 2,700 shares
- Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 99.9% 10,000 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 96.7% 12,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 98.2% 12,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 97.8% 31,999.98 shares
- Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 99.8% 3,157.5 shares
- Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 99.8% 3,591.45 shares