Polymarket Trader

-220-

0x30b9f1e52d2c768494fca50d5fbf4a1c9089a775

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $120.38
Realized PnL: $238.36
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Warsh say "Asymmetric" during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $120.38
Potential payout: $120.68
Potential profit: $0.3
User PnL: $9.18

No position

Will Vance say "Ass" during Air Force Academy Address?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.61
Potential profit: $4.61
User PnL: -$4.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump say "Economy" during Fed chair announcement?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.81

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ass" or "Shit" this week? (December 29 - January 4)

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.49

Yes position

Will Trump say "Egg" this week? (March 29)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.91

Yes position

Will Ryanair say "Elon" or "Musk" during earnings call?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.76

No position

Will BlackRock say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during earnings call?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.94

No position

Will Oracle say "Temu" during earnings call?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.85

No position

Will Trump say "Epstein" during the announcement on Thursday?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Amazon say "Severance" during earnings call?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.93

Yes position

Will Trump say "El Salvador" this week? (March 8)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.7

Yes position

Will Trump say "Cognitive" this week? (January 11)

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.32

No position

Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.25

Yes position

Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (January 25)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.22

Yes position

Will Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" during the announcement on Thursday?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.7

Yes position

Will Trump say "Colombia" this week? (January 11)

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.54

No position

Will Starmer say "Green" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.26

No position

Will Dr. Oz say "Nuclear" during the press briefing?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.09

Yes position

Will Ryanair say "Starlink" during earnings call?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.02

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during Iowa speech?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio say "President" or "Trump" 10+ times during press briefing today?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.89

No position

Will Trump say "Biden" during Fed chair announcement?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.8

Yes position

Will Starmer say "U-turn" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.66

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio say "EU" or "Europe" during press briefing today?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.21

Yes position

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.07

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during WEF Address on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Warsh say "Jerome" or "Powell" during June Press Conference?

No 98.3% 95.9 shares
Will Warsh say "Asymmetric" during June Press Conference?

No 97% 20.68 shares
Will Warsh say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during June Press Conference?

No 97.5% 100 shares
Will Warsh say "Stock" during June Press Conference?

No 97.2% 66.51 shares
Will Warsh say "Asymmetric" during June Press Conference?

No 91.1% 100 shares
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 60+ times during June Press Conference?

No 99% 18.98 shares
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?

No 94% 2.99 shares
Will Warsh say "Money" during June Press Conference?

Yes 99% 100 shares
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?

No 93% 6.05 shares
Will Warsh say "Maximum Employment" during June Press Conference?

Yes 97.6% 100 shares
Will Trump say "Pakistan" during meeting with French President?

No 90% 9 shares
Will Trump say "Eight Wars" or "Eighth War" during meeting with French President?

No 91% 10 shares