No position
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $630.97
- Potential payout
- $908
- Potential profit
- $277.03
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$131.75
Polymarket Trader
0x51dd319addd9f3854e825bd909fde2483bf9e9c3
0x30cbe20262117456cc44a94d7fab7290b77fd54a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $630.97
- Realized PnL
- $3.03K
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 7?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 8?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 12?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 11?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 6?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
US strike on Colombia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.73K
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $700.82
No position
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $520.86
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 10?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.8
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 4?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022?
Ends Jan 1, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
Will $ETH be above $1,900 on August 19?
Ends Aug 19, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022?
Ends Jan 1, 2023- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 775984.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 9?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 5?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 4?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$1.13
Yes position
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 10?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$8.6
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.6
No position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 84% 908 shares
- Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?No 81% 100 shares
- Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?Yes 13% 50 shares
- Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?Yes 15% 100 shares
- Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?Yes 16% 100 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes 5.3% 807.88 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No 89% 20 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes 10% 4,999.99 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Yes 13% 788.82 shares
- Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 23% 656.48 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes 6.6% 811.68 shares
- Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 31.4% 30.01 shares