Polymarket Trader

captfantastic

0x30d22a2720de91bbd3c5ecb2e5b24915c3dacfcc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $458.2
Realized PnL: $75.32
Win rate: 63.6%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $26.58
Potential payout: $1.66K
Potential profit: $1.63K
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: -$23.41

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $129.77
Potential payout: $786.46
Potential profit: $656.69
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$170.23

No position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $154.32
Potential payout: $154.32
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $54.32

No position

Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $97.9
Potential payout: $111.89
Potential profit: $13.99
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.2
Potential profit: $62.2
User PnL: -$13

No position

Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $49.63
Potential payout: $60.15
Potential profit: $10.53
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$0.37

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.2

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.92

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.52

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.4

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.56

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.56

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.17

Yes position

Will Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

More EU sanctions on Russia by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$200

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 33% 177.03 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Yes 29% 172.41 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?

No 86% 232.56 shares
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 20.9% 239.23 shares
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 3% 1,661.52 shares
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

No 64.8% 154.32 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Yes 77.7% 257.4 shares
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Yes 98.9% 161.29 shares
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?

No 83.1% 60.15 shares
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?

No 89.4% 111.89 shares
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 38.4% 260.14 shares
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Yes 62% 161.29 shares