Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $3.01K
- Potential payout
- $8.24K
- Potential profit
- $5.23K
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$124.1
Polymarket Trader
NOIZYUV
0x30db2d6f662bcc534cb80fb3c6163f44eb9733c0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.55K
- Realized PnL
- $8.84K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $13.71
- Potential payout
- $3.92K
- Potential profit
- $3.9K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$6.29
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $732.55
- Potential payout
- $1.61K
- Potential profit
- $877.44
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$18.15
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $48.26
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$1.74
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $566.8
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $473.2
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$6.4
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.55
- Potential payout
- $776.19
- Potential profit
- $774.64
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$12.05
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $11.33
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $655.33
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $12.16
- Potential payout
- $639.99
- Potential profit
- $627.83
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- -$1.44
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $609.99
- Potential profit
- $609.99
- User PnL
- -$308.09
Yes position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $24
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $576
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $141
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $459
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $3.55
- Potential payout
- $506.52
- Potential profit
- $502.98
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$1.45
No position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $330.72
- Potential payout
- $416
- Potential profit
- $85.28
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $48.62
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $209.77
- Potential payout
- $325.22
- Potential profit
- $115.45
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $80.31
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $4.2
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $295.8
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$4.8
No position
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $156.6
- Potential payout
- $290
- Potential profit
- $133.4
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- $5.8
No position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $269.98
- Potential profit
- $269.98
- User PnL
- -$6.1
Yes position
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in June?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $245.07
- Potential profit
- $243.72
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$8.65
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $205.7
- Potential payout
- $220
- Potential profit
- $14.3
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $25.3
Yes position
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $64.73
- Potential payout
- $215.78
- Potential profit
- $151.05
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- -$35.27
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $9.34
- Potential payout
- $210
- Potential profit
- $200.66
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.1
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$4.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $792.97
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $604.5
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $549.65
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $433.09
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $339.8
No position
Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $336.28
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.21
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.2
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $198.29
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $193
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $182.31
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.53
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.45
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.44
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.69
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.19
No position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $85.84
Yes position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $78.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yes 26% 18.37 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 24% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 47% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 47% 1,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 47% 9.99 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31No 13% 50 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31No 13% 80 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.5% 666.67 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Yes 4.3% 1,162.79 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31No 38% 20 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes 37% 60 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No 30% 200 shares