Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $1.14
- Potential payout
- $1.2
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Polymarket Trader
Bena01
0x30dc5b88fc5fc5de5e6d9af6fe69c323026e4b67
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.3
- Realized PnL
- $1.7
- Win rate
- 91.3%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $1.15
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $1.14
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?
Ends Jan 12, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.3%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1.13
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.04
- Potential payout
- $1.04
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $1.04
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
US announces withdrawal from WTO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Trump try and fire Powell before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Brazilian Supreme Court Minister Alexandre de Moraes be impeached 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Is Earth flat?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will no new pope be elected in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 96.2% 1.04 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?No 96% 1.04 shares
- Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?No 88.2% 1.13 shares
- Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No 88% 1.14 shares
- Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?No 87% 1.15 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes 83% 1.2 shares
- Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?No 92.5% 1.08 shares
- Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025?No 87% 1.15 shares
- Will Trump be impeached in 2025?No 95.7% 1.04 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 94% 1.06 shares
- Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?No 72% 1.39 shares
- US announces withdrawal from WTO in 2025?No 83% 1.2 shares