Yes position
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $25K
- User PnL
- -$100
Polymarket Trader
initowinit
0x30e99edf98cd8b5852f6eb59d17002bd60f5f485
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $302.7
- Realized PnL
- $316.67
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.43K
- Potential profit
- $7.43K
- User PnL
- -$1.05K
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $266.67
- Potential payout
- $4.76K
- Potential profit
- $4.5K
- Multiplier
- 17.86x
- User PnL
- -$733.33
Yes position
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.01K
- Potential profit
- $2.01K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.73K
- Potential profit
- $1.73K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $2.52
- Potential payout
- $719.4
- Potential profit
- $716.88
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$7.48
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $21.56
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $603.44
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$28.44
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $602.71
- Potential profit
- $602.71
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $558.66
- Potential profit
- $558.66
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $494.01
- Potential profit
- $494.01
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $2.69
- Potential payout
- $448.09
- Potential profit
- $445.4
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$17.31
Yes position
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $346.27
- Potential profit
- $346.27
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $9.26
- Potential payout
- $294.12
- Potential profit
- $284.85
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$40.74
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $256.81
- Potential profit
- $256.81
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $316.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?Yes 0.7% 1,428.42 shares
- Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Yes 8.1% 494.01 shares
- Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?Yes 8.7% 346.27 shares
- Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?Yes 0.5% 2,012.44 shares
- Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 1.4% 719.4 shares
- Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 4.5% 448.09 shares
- Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 8% 625 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 17% 294.12 shares
- Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes 11.6% 1,726.32 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes 38.9% 256.81 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 24% 416.67 shares
- Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes 8.3% 602.71 shares