Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $138.8
- Potential payout
- $5.05K
- Potential profit
- $4.91K
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- $90.24
Polymarket Trader
taerv534
0x30f91b6df5a62ab2e504045e25fd449a23affbfc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.16K
- Realized PnL
- $76.82K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $30.72
- Potential payout
- $4.1K
- Potential profit
- $4.07K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $6.14
Yes position
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.6%
- Current value
- $271.78
- Potential payout
- $3.58K
- Potential profit
- $3.3K
- Multiplier
- 13.16x
- User PnL
- $49.04
Yes position
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.76
- Potential payout
- $3.52K
- Potential profit
- $3.51K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.28
Yes position
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.57
- Potential payout
- $3.14K
- Potential profit
- $3.14K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.45
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.54
- Potential payout
- $3.08K
- Potential profit
- $3.08K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.54
Yes position
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.48
- Potential payout
- $2.97K
- Potential profit
- $2.97K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.24
Yes position
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $4.24
- Potential payout
- $2.83K
- Potential profit
- $2.82K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.71
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $3.77
- Potential payout
- $2.51K
- Potential profit
- $2.51K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.65
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $227.74
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $2.17K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $17.89
Yes position
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.15
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $2.3K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.46
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $2.04K
- Potential profit
- $2.04K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$21.51
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $1.69K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$85.47
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 7.7%
- Current value
- $126.43
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- Multiplier
- 13.07x
- User PnL
- $93.54
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- User PnL
- -$20.76
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $12.67
- Potential payout
- $1.49K
- Potential profit
- $1.48K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$8.92
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $850B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $40.63
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $1.41K
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- -$4.62
Yes position
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $8.33
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- $1.9
N
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $245.92
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $871.89
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$188.39
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $24.9
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- -$5.05
Yes position
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $9.42
- Potential payout
- $992
- Potential profit
- $982.58
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.4
- Potential payout
- $808
- Potential profit
- $807.59
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$21.99
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.79
- Potential payout
- $792
- Potential profit
- $791.21
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$11.43
Yes position
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $6.61
- Potential payout
- $661.45
- Potential profit
- $654.84
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- -$76.81
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.76K
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.74K
No position
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $5.43K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.77K
No position
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.98K
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.92K
No position
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9K
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.08K
Yes position
Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 31?
Ends Jan 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89K
Yes position
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 30% in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73K
Yes position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58K
Yes position
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.19K
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19K
Yes position
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16K
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08K
No position
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.02K
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.96K
Yes position
Greg Bovino fired/resigns by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9K
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89K
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.8K
Yes position
Is there more than 147341858 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8K
Yes position
Luigi Mangione manifesto released by Friday?
Ends Dec 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 35% 100 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 14.5% 200 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 57% 100 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 43.3% 22.99 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 42% 8 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 48% 14.62 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No 52% 165.77 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 24% 238.93 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 39% 100 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?Yes 13.1% 109.02 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?Yes 0.8% 256 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 76.2% 887.99 shares